NFL Football Week 16 2023 Preview. Last week saw surprises in several games, like Seattle using a backup quarterback to beat Philadelphia. Be prepared for more surprises this week, especially as teams scramble to make the playoffs. Always use the tools at hand as a bookie to minimize your risks, such as bet limits and layoff accounts.
Week 16 Schedule and Spreads
Thursday, December 21
- New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-4.5, 44.5)
Saturday, December 23
- Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 37.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
- Buffalo Bills (-11, 42.5) at Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday, December 24
- Washington Commanders at New York Jets (-3, 38.5)
- Detroit Lions (-3, 46.5) at Minnesota Vikings
- Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans (-2.5, 42.5)
- Green Bay Packers (-5, 36.5) at Carolina Panthers
- Seattle Seahawks (-2.5, 42.5) at Tennessee Titans
- Indianapolis Colts (-2.5, 44.5) at Atlanta Falcons
- Jacksonville Jaguars (-1, 43.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins (-1.5, 51.5)
- Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears (-4.5, 44.5)
- New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (-6, 34.5)
Monday, December 25
- Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 41.5)
- New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5, 43.5)
- Baltimore Ravens at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5, 45.5)
The Saints and Rams Start Week 16
Both of these teams are .500 and have been unpredictable. However, the Rams have won four of five games since their Week 10 bye, and that one loss was to the Ravens.
The Rams are on the upswing and deserve the 4.5-point spread. They have averaged 150.2 rushing yards in those last five games. New Orleans’s defense ranks 25th in the NFL in halting the running game, allowing an average of 126.4 yards per game. The rushing game could make the difference, but if not, Matthew Stafford is more than capable of throwing the ball.
I don’t see the Saints beating the Rams in this one, but they still have a good chance of winning the NFC South because they finish the season taking on division rivals Tampa Bay and Atlanta.
If you’re not convinced the Rams will win, check out this stat: since 2006, 19 teams have flown from the Central/Eastern time zone for Thursday Night Football and have gone 4-15 SU and 4-13-2 ATS. Two of those wins were by Aaron Rodgers in his MVP run with the Packers.
Buffalo Has the Largest Spread Against the Chargers
The Bills have been coming on strong lately, and their playoff hopes are still alive. All the Chargers can hope for is to disrupt their plans. But after their dismal showing against the Raiders, they’ll need a Christmas miracle even to cover the spread.
The Chargers gave up 63 points to the Raiders last week, while the Bills beat the high-scoring Cowboys 31-10. The Chargers fired coach Brandon Staley and general manager Tom Telesco in hopes the team can somehow rebound. I see lots of fans placing bets on Buffalo to beat the spread and the OVER, so keep those limits in.
The Colts and Falcons Fighting for a Playoff Spot
This is probably the last chance the Falcons have of getting into the playoffs. They’ve lost their previous two games, including their worst loss to the Panthers, 9-7, in a sloshy, rainy Week 15 game. That’s put them into third place in the NFC South. They must get their running game going to win this one.
The Colts are 5-1 SU in their last six games and have produced 13 turnovers during that stretch. This confident team is in a three-way tie with Houston and Jacksonville for first place in the AFC South. The Jaguars probably have the easiest schedule for the remainder of the season, while Indianapolis and Houston will battle it out in the last game.
Unless Atlanta finds their legs, Indianapolis will cover the spread on Christmas Eve.
San Francisco and Baltimore Meet on Christmas Day
The top team in the AFC meets the top team in the NFC this Christmas for what could be a preview of Super Bowl 2024. Both teams have elite defenses, and both quarterbacks are legitimate MVP candidates. How those players handle this game will go a long way in helping make the final decision.
Baltimore’s advantage is that they average 163.8 yards per game on the ground. They are 9-1 this season when they rush for at least 130 yards. Unfortunately, the 49ers are third in the league at stopping the ground game. They are 9-1 when they can hold a team to less than 130 yards on the ground. That sounds like a magical number to make a Props bet.
Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson has a 19-1 career record against NFC teams, but the Ravens will be without Keaton Mitchell, who tore his ACL last week against the Jaguars. The running back averaged 8.4 yards per carry this season and will be difficult to replace. It looks like San Francisco has the edge this Christmas. I’m looking forward to seeing who gets the coal in their stocking.
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