We outline the teams that should attract the most spread college betting action for the remainder of the NCAAF season.
In 2020, players required a handbook to understand college football rules, rankings, and start dates. After the first week this season, it feels like college football is back to normal.
College Football Week 1 saw wild results. No. 3 Oklahoma squeaked a five-point win versus Tulane despite being 31-point favorites.
As 19-point favorites, No. 12 Oregon required a 10-point fourth-quarter comeback versus Fresno to win. -20.5 favorite Mississippi State rallied with 21 points in the fourth quarter to defeat Louisiana Tech by 1.
There are eleven weeks left in the season. Here’s a breakdown of the college programs that could attract the most ATS college football bets from now until Championship Saturday.
Alabama Crimson Tide – Still Rolling
After dominating Miami, it’s apparent Bama is just as good this season as they were last season when they won the title. The Crimson Tide blasted the Hurricanes 44-13, covering a -19.5 spread.
QB Bryce Young threw for 344 yards and 4 touchdowns. The Tide’s defense didn’t miss a beat, holding the Hurricanes to 2.8-yards per rush and forcing 3 turnovers.
Alabama went 9-4 ATS last year and won the National Championship. Oddsmaking experts may already be adjusting future college betting lines.
Florida State – Headlines will Attract Action
Though the Florida State Seminoles lost at home in the first week, they created enough headlines to peak bettors’ interest:
- The Seminoles Cover as Home Dogs: No. 9 Notre Dame beat Florida State 41-38, but the Seminoles covered the 7-point spread.
- Milton Return Sparks Epic FSU Comeback to Force OT: After subbing in senior QB McKenzie Milton, who hadn’t played in 1,017 days after an injury that nearly cost him his leg. the Seminoles made an 18-point, fourth-quarter comeback to force overtime/
- Irish Require Overtime to Barely Survive Unranked ‘Noles: Notre Dame required a field goal in overtime to escape Tallahassee with a win.
- FSU’s 264 Rushing Yards Not Enough – For the first time since 2012, Florida State rushed for more than 250 yards versus a Top 10 team.
Florida State went 3-6 ATS in 2020. This season, the Noles have a great quarterback and a terrific rushing game.
Instead of 3-6 against the spread, this season, FSU could go 6-3. Inexperienced bookmakers that offer free betting software should check out the how to be a bookie page to learn about managing possible action on teams like Florida State.
Ohio State Buckeyes – Heisman Hopes Bring ATS Action
Before the season started, most Heisman Trophy action in Vegas fell onto Oklahoma’s Spencer Rattler and Ohio State’s CJ Stroud. In the first week, Rattler disappointed.
The Sooners’ quarterback threw for a single TD and tossed 2 interceptions in a tough win against Tulane. Stroud played better.
Against Big Ten rival Minnesota, the highly touted freshman tossed 4 touchdown passes and a pick. The game was Stroud’s first college start.
Heisman contenders tend to attract more action against the spread than their opponents. Expect current NCAA football wagers to go the same way as Heisman bets, away from teams like Oklahoma with struggling Heisman contenders and towards teams like Ohio State because their Heisman contender found success.
In C.J’s first start, the Buckeyes earned a push by beating Minnesota 45-31 as 14-point favorites. As long as Stroud continues to develop, the Buckeyes should improve their 2020 4-4 ATS record.
Virginia Tech – Enter ATS Action
Two significant factors often attract casual football handicapping action, social-media hype and a Top 25 AP ranking. After week 1, Virginia Tech has both.
The Hokies defeated North Carolina 17-10 as 5.5-point underdogs. Not only did VA Tech upset the Tar Heels on the moneyline, but the Hokies did it in front of a packed stadium.
The win impressed so much that the Associated Press ranked them 19th this week. College football spread betting action should follow in future Hokie games.
Georgia – Dominant D Puts Georgia on Bettor Minds
Georgia entered their first-week game against Clemson a +3 underdog. The Bulldogs left Charlotte, NC, the site of the intense battle, 10-3 straight up victors.
The win moves Georgia up to No. 2 in the nation. The Bulldogs held the Tigers to just 2 rushing yards.
Georgia used defense to grab the victory. UGA sacked Clemson quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei seven times. The only TD in the game was on a 74-yard interception return.
The Bulldogs don’t face an opponent as talented as Clemson until week 6 when they take on Auburn. As long as the defense holds, the Bulldogs could go on a spread betting college football winning streak.
Teams College Football Pro Handicappers Will Love
Every successful sportsbook has its share of pro handicappers looking to pounce on overlay odds. Here are some outside-the-norm squads your pro NCAAF handicappers will target.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Although Coastal Carolina flew under the radar in 2020, they went 8-3-1 against the spread. Pay attention to the action on the Chanticleers. Pro handicappers will take advantage of any overlay spread college odds whether those odds point to a Coastal cover or not.
Tulane Green Wave
Tulane sent shockwaves through college football by almost upsetting Oklahoma on the moneyline. The Green Wave fell 41-35 as a 31-point underdog.
Like with the Chanticleers, handicappers will take advantage of any overlay odds. So if the public starts backing Tulane, pros will go the other way.
Iowa delivered a 34-6 win over Indiana as a less than 4-point favorite. Pros will wait and see if oddsmakers adjust lines. If they don’t, they will continue to back the Hawkeyes. If oddsmakers overcorrect, the professional handicapper will support Iowa’s opponents to cover.
The Bearcats went a solid 6-4 ATS last year and were talented enough to cover as 7.5-point underdogs versus Georgia in the Peach Bowl. Vegas could set overlay spread odds on Cincinnati games throughout the season.
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The 2021-2022 College Football Season is underway. Teams like Georgia, Ohio State, and Alabama should attract bets on NCAAF games throughout the season.
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