France vs Sweden Game Analysis: Lots of Firepower
France meets Sweden for their Round of 32 fixture on Tuesday, June 30, at the New York/New Jersey Stadium at 5 pm EST.
France’s Kylian Mbappe leads the line surrounded by Ousmane Dembélé, Bradley Barcola and Michael Olise. Viktor Gyorkeres and Alexander Isak are the striking pair for Sweden, who are expected to score, but their defense has been a problem during the tournament.
Sweden may get a goal or two, but France will get more in this FIFA World Cup match.
France Recent Scores: Strong Favorites
Prior to the tournament start, France played two pre-tournament friendlies in early June, winning against Northern Ireland but losing to the Ivory Coast.
They had a slow start to their opening game against Senegal, but turned up the heat in the second half and won 3-1. In the three group games, France has played strongly, winning all three matches and scoring 10 goals while conceding only 2.
Jun 26: Norway 1 – 4 France (Group play)
Jun 22: France 3 – 0 Iraq (Group play)
Jun 16: France 3 – 1 Senegal (Group play)
Norway finished in second place in Group I, but France’s Ousmane Dembélé scored a hat-trick in their 4-1 win against the Norwegians in the final game.
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— FIFA World Cup (@FIFAWorldCup) June 30, 2026
Sweden Recent Scores: A Strong Third
Sweden’s qualifying campaign was dismal enough to surprise anyone they are in the World Cup, but they made up for it in their March playoff run, and here they are.
Sweden was part of Group F, where they had mixed results. They had a convincing opening game against Tunisia, and then lost just as convincingly against the Netherlands.
Jun 26: Japan 1 – 1 Sweden (Group play)
Jun 20: Netherlands 5 – 1 Sweden (Group play)
Jun 14: Sweden 5 – 1 Tunisia (Group play)
Their final game against Japan was a hard-fought draw, which set them up as one of the best third-place teams. Unfortunately for Japan, they just lost against Brazil 2-1 in the Round of 32.
France vs Sweden History: France is Dominant
These teams have played against each other 23 times over many years, with their first match an international friendly on November 10, 1935, which France won 2-0. France has dominated those matches:
- France wins: 12
- Draws: 5
- Sweden wins: 6
Their last two competitions were the UEFA Nations League in 2020, with France winning both.
The last time Sweden won was the 2018 World Cup qualifier on June 9, 2017. Final score: Sweden 2-1 France.
France vs Sweden Prediction: Minor Injuries for France
France is highly favored to win this match. Their only issues are two injuries. Defender William Saliba rested against Norway because of a persistent back issue. He is doubtful to play against Sweden. Striker Marcus Thuram is ruled out due to calf and adductor muscle issues. It’s considered minor, but he’s still sitting out.
Those issues will make the game more interesting, but France is still expected to win by a wide margin.
Our France vs Sweden prediction is a 4-1 win for France.
