This Sunday, the fate of the New England Patriots could be decided in their matchup against the Buffalo Bills. With a win, New England can effectively secure the AFC East title and build a three-game lead with three weeks left on the schedule. This will be the second of two games where, in their first matchup, Drake Maye & Co. dominated the Bills, outdueling the reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen with a final score of 20-23, leaving the league without an unbeaten team. Here at PayPerHead, we have our Bills vs Patriots prediction and everything you need to know before kickoff.
How to Watch Bills vs. Patriots
- Date: Sunday, December 14
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Broadcast: CBS
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Bills vs. Patriots Matchup Analysis
The matchup sets up as a strength-on-strength clash, but Buffalo enters with the clearer statistical edge. The Bills are scoring 28.9 points per game, more than 10 points above what the Patriots typically allow, and their offense consistently moves the ball, averaging 383.7 yards and 6.3 yards per play, while the New England defense is giving up just 296.4 yards and 5.5 per play.
On the other hand, the Patriots’ offense has been productive at 27.0 points per game, slightly outpacing what Buffalo usually allows, but the yardage gap favors the Bills. New England averages 362.6 yards and 6.1 per play, while Buffalo’s defense has kept opponents to 307.1 yards and 5.7 per play. Both teams can score, but Buffalo’s ability to push past the usual limits of opposing defenses gives them a more stable path to control the tempo.
How the Bills Have Performed Recently
Buffalo enters Week 15 at 9-4, a solid mark, but not enough to keep pace with New England in the division. Their recent form has been uneven, but the highs are still impressive. In their last five games, they defeated the Bengals (39-44), Steelers (7-26), and Buccaneers (44-22), while losing only to the Miami Dolphins (30-13) and Houston Texans (23-19).
New England’s Latest Results
The Patriots enter Week 15 with a fantastic 11-2 record, the best in the AFC East and the first place overall in the league, tied with the Denver Broncos for the two best records in the NFL. They have won the last 10 games in a row, including a victory over the Buffalo Bills in their first matchup, and are looking for their 11th straight victory. Some critics are pointing out that they have enjoyed an easy calendar, but also victories like those against the Bills and Buccaneers show strength and good shape.
Who Wins? Bills vs. Patriots Prediction
This matchup is the perfect measuring stick for New England. A win would silence doubts, lock up the division, and establish momentum heading into the postseason. For Buffalo, this might be their final opportunity to challenge for the AFC East instead of settling into the Wild Card battle.
Our prediction at PayPerHead: Bills 28–31 Patriots.
