Home Advantage: Knicks vs Nuggets Game Analysis
With the Nuggets playing back-to-back home games without a break, their biggest concern is exhaustion. The Knicks got a day off after their home loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, but they still have to travel. Join us to see which team is the favorite in this Knicks vs Nuggets prediction at PayPerHead.
The Nuggets have no new injuries to worry about. They are still without the same players as last night: Aaron Gordon (hamstring strain), Cameron Johnson (ankle soreness), Peyton Watson (hamstring strain) and Spencer Jones (shoulder strain).
The Knicks were without Mitchell Robinson (ankle injury management) and Miles McBride (ankle management), but now it looks like they’ll have to do without Josh Hart (lower back contusion), which could affect their depth.
New York Knicks Recent Scores
As we predicted, it would be a close one between the Knicks and Thunder on Wednesday night in Madison Square Garden in New York. The Thunder won 103-100. The game didn’t score as high as we predicted (118-114), which was a surprise.
Karl-Anthony Towns got 17 rebounds and scored 17 points. Jalen Brunson contributed with 16 points and 15 assists.
Denver Nuggets Recent Scores
The Nuggets may have won their last 2 games, but they are playing .500 ball, which won’t get them to the playoffs. Their schedule is not getting any easier as they take on the Thunder on Monday, followed by the Rockets, Spurs, Lakers and 76ers. I guess if they win half of those, they’ll be doing well.
They won a big game against the Lakers last night, who are right behind them in the standings. This gives them a bit of breathing room with 39 wins over the Lakers’ 37. Nikola Jokić scored 28 points, 12 rebounds and 13 assists (a triple-double).
wheels up headed west 🛫 pic.twitter.com/HZjdT9ecHY
— NEW YORK KNICKS (@nyknicks) March 5, 2026
Double-O: New York vs Denver History
These teams have only met once this season, on February 4. The Knicks got the win in double overtime in a high-scoring extravaganza, 134-127. Jalen Brunson led New York with 42 points, 9 assists and 8 rebounds. For Denver, Jamal Murray got a team-high of 39 points.
The Knicks were on a roll, as this was their 8th win in a row. They are coming into this next game after a loss to the Thunder and have only 6 wins in their last 10 games.
Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction
Nikola Jokić continues to stand out for the Nuggets, averaging 28.7 points, 12.6 rebounds and 10.3 assists per game. His teammate, Jamal Murray, also has strong stats, averaging 25.7 PPG and 3.2 three-pointers per game.
On the Knicks’ side, Jalen Brunson averages 26.7 points and 6.1 assists per game, while Karl-Anthony Towns averages 19.9 points and 11.7 rebounds per game.
The Nuggets’ defense ranks 21st in the NBA (allowing 116.3 PPG), most notably because they are missing key defenders, Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun. The Knicks have a steadily improving defense, which is now ranked 9th in the NBA (allowing 111.8 PPG).
New York’s offense is ranked 8th with an average of 117.6 PPG, while Denver’s offense is ranked No. 1, averaging 120.8 PPG. I would expect a high-scoring game, but after seeing the Thunder-Knicks score from last night’s game (March 4), I wonder if this game will also have a lower over/under.
The odds are -1.5 for the Nuggets and an over/under of 229.5. I think everyone agrees it’ll be close, but we predict it’ll go under. Expect the Nuggets to win, 112-110. Don’t just run your book. Run it smarter. Join the PayPerHead community today.
