Formula 1 has paused the European races for a brief period to head to Canada for the Grand Prix this weekend, where the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve will host the tenth race of the season with Free Practice 1 and 2 on Friday, June 13, followed by Free Practice 3 and Qualifying on Saturday, June 14, and the Grand Prix on Sunday, June 15. This Grand Prix has been one of the most recurrent races in the Formula 1 since its debut in 1978, and 2025 promises to be quite a show. Here’s our Pay Per Head prediction.
Canadian Grand Prix Analysis: Key Drivers & Race Outlook
This Grand Prix is unlikely to see significant changes in the top standings of the Driver Standings this weekend, with the continuity of McLaren pilots in the first two spots. Still, in third place, the Dutch racer Max Verstappen must seek to have a perfect race, not only to close the gap with Norris and Piastri, but also to avoid the one penalty point that could translate in an automatic race suspension after the pusnishment in Barcelona where he collisioned with George Rusell being handed with ten seconds time penalty, which means 3 points for a total of 11, just one away for the one race ban. Despite this, Verstappen has consistently taken first place over the last three years, which suggests that this could not be an exception.
Drivers’ Championship Standings Ahead of the Canadian Grand Prix 2025
The dominance of the McLaren Mercedes team continues with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri at the very top of the Drivers’ Championship. One of the most impressive stats this season is the eight consecutive podiums for Piastri, becoming the third McLaren driver to achieve such a feat, since Lewis Hamilton in 2007 and the legend Ayrton Senna in 1988. The standings are led by the Australian driver, Lando Norris, who has reached 186. His teammate, Piastri, is only ten points behind (176), reminiscent of the great season Mercedes had in 2016 with teammates Lewis Hamilton and Nico Rosberg leading and winning the championship. Now, the third place is owned by Max Verstappen, of Red Bull Racing, with 137. The first five places are completed by George Russel with 111 and Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc with 94.
Constructors’ Championship Standings & Canadian Grand Prix Implications
Nothing is going to change in the Constructor Championship this weekend, McLaren Mercedes is leading with 362 points, 197 points ahead of their closest rival, Ferrari (165). Mercedes is in third place with 159 points after several great racing weeks from its drivers George Russell, who has earned 111 personal points in the driver’s championship, and the surprising rookie Kimi Antonelli, who has fought with the heavyweights face-to-face to accumulate 48 points over drivers like Carlos Sainz and Fernando Alonso. The first five charts are complete, featuring Red Bull’s (144) season of ups and downs, as well as Williams-Mercedes with 54 points.
F1 Canadian Grand Prix Winner & Podium Prediction 2025
Nobody can doubt the incredible excitement and adrenaline this weekend could bring, but it is tough to bet against the McLaren odds and Piastri’s consecutive podiums. Given these circumstances, Norris and Piastri ending up in the first three positions is a very realistic prediction. The real question is, who will take that third place? In recent races, George Russell has performed extraordinarily. Still, the Dutch menace, Verstappen, is in a prime position to gain significant points that keep him in a realistic title race. At the same time, the living legend Lewis Hamilton hopes to retake the venue that made him the record holder with seven wins. Our final verdict: George Russell with seize the day.
